Jaguares FC vs Reboceros de la Piedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
JAG
2 - 0
TIJ
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
REB
0 - 1
JAG
30%
25%
45%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
QRO
1 - 1
JAG
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
JAG
1 - 2
ATS
56%
24%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
ATL
4 - 3
JAG
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Reboceros de la Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
REB
0 - 1
JAG
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
SNL
2 - 1
REB
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
REB
1 - 4
SNL
37%
26%
38%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
REB
5 - 0
DOR
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
UAT
1 - 1
REB
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |