Jaguares FC vs Racing de Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4915%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
1º
4º
1º
4
5º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
5 | 23 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 23 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 21 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 20 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 19 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
4 | 18 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 15 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 15 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 12 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 10 |
10º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 9 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 6 |
12º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
36.5% | 2% |
|
Play-offs
|
62.5% | 89.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 1
JAG
22%
26%
52%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
JAG
3 - 0
CAS
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 18 | 56 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ATS
0 - 1
JAG
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +6 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
JAG
2 - 2
SAN
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
QRO
2 - 2
JAG
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Racing de Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
RVC
1 - 0
ZIT
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PDC
1 - 0
RVC
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
RVC
2 - 2
TAM
20%
27%
53%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 0
RVC
69%
20%
11%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
RVC
1 - 0
IRA
15%
23%
63%
|
42 | 71 | 29 | +1 |