Jaguares FC vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 3
TIG
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 0
JAG
34%
24%
43%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAZ
2 - 1
JAG
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
JAG
3 - 3
LOB
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 1
VER
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
NEC
0 - 0
ALE
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 0
JAG
34%
24%
43%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 1
ZAC
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
ALE
2 - 3
VER
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
LOB
1 - 2
ALE
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |