Jaguares FC vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MON
1 - 2
JAG
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
JAG
1 - 3
EST
43%
25%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 0
JAG
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
JAG
2 - 1
IND
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
PUE
1 - 1
JAG
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
NEC
1 - 1
PAC
48%
26%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
MOR
3 - 1
NEC
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
NEC
1 - 1
TOL
49%
27%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 1
NEC
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
CAZ
2 - 1
NEC
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |