Jaguares FC vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
JAG
0 - 4
TOL
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
QRO
1 - 1
JAG
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
JAG
1 - 0
DEL
76%
16%
9%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
JAG
4 - 2
PUE
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 1
JAG
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LOB
0 - 2
MER
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
MER
3 - 1
CAF
44%
29%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
MER
1 - 2
ATL
32%
27%
42%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ALE
2 - 0
MER
49%
26%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
MER
0 - 2
UDG
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |