Liga MX Finals Cl. Quarter-finals
Global 5-6
Jaguares FC vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2006 |
CHI
2 - 3
JAG
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 1
JAG
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
JAG
2 - 4
DOR
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
TIG
1 - 0
JAG
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
JAG
1 - 0
ATL
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2006 |
CHI
2 - 3
JAG
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
SFE
3 - 1
CHI
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
CHI
0 - 2
TOL
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2006 |
CHI
3 - 0
SFE
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2006 |
EST
2 - 2
CHI
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |