Jaguares FC vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TIG
1 - 1
JAG
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
JAG
5 - 3
AME
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
EST
0 - 2
JAG
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
JAG
3 - 2
SAN
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
JAG
1 - 1
TOL
40%
27%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ATS
2 - 3
ATL
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PAC
4 - 2
ATS
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ATS
1 - 1
SNL
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ATS
0 - 1
TIG
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
AME
5 - 2
ATS
60%
22%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |