Jaguares FC vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
JAG
0 - 2
AME
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
TIG
3 - 0
JAG
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PAC
2 - 1
JAG
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
JAG
3 - 0
PUM
49%
27%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LEO
4 - 1
JAG
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 0
LOB
79%
15%
7%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CAZ
2 - 1
SNL
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 3
CAZ
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
3 - 0
CAZ
47%
24%
28%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
CAZ
2 - 1
LEO
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |