Liga MX Finals Cl. Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Jaguares FC vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
JAG
2 - 2
CHI
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
PAC
0 - 1
JAG
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
JAG
1 - 2
VER
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
TOL
1 - 1
JAG
55%
25%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
JAG
1 - 2
CAZ
39%
27%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
ATS
2 - 0
CAZ
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
CAZ
1 - 0
MOR
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
EST
0 - 2
CAZ
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
CAZ
2 - 1
PUM
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
JAG
1 - 2
CAZ
39%
27%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |