Jaguares FC vs Cafetaleros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
DOR
0 - 0
JAG
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
QRO
1 - 0
JAG
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
JAG
0 - 2
MON
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAZ
0 - 1
JAG
54%
24%
21%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
JAG
1 - 1
VER
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
UAT
3 - 1
CAF
56%
25%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CAÑ
0 - 4
CAF
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CAF
1 - 2
LOB
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ALE
5 - 1
CAF
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CAF
5 - 2
UDG
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |