Jaguares FC vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
SLO
4 - 1
JAG
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 2
JAG
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
JAG
1 - 2
SNL
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
TIG
0 - 3
JAG
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
JAG
2 - 1
ATS
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
AME
1 - 3
PAC
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 0
AME
50%
26%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
AME
2 - 2
TOL
44%
27%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
AME
58%
22%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
NEC
2 - 0
AME
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |