Jagodina vs Napredak Krusevac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagodina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
FKS
2 - 0
JAG
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
JAG
2 - 3
VOJ
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
JAG
3 - 1
RAD
65%
22%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CRV
3 - 0
JAG
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
JAG
1 - 1
MLA
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
NAP
0 - 0
CRV
23%
25%
52%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
MLA
2 - 1
NAP
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NAP
2 - 4
BEO
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
RAD
0 - 0
NAP
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
NAP
0 - 2
ČUK
53%
24%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |