Jagodina vs Napredak Krusevac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagodina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
FCR
1 - 0
JAG
64%
23%
13%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
JAG
2 - 3
FCR
34%
29%
38%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
JAG
2 - 0
FKD
68%
22%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
BSK
1 - 2
JAG
24%
30%
47%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
JAG
1 - 1
FKS
55%
26%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
VOZ
4 - 1
NAP
29%
29%
42%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
NAP
2 - 1
BOR
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
KOL
2 - 2
NAP
15%
27%
58%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
NAP
3 - 2
BZR
81%
14%
5%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
RNS
0 - 2
NAP
33%
29%
38%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |