Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Stal Mielec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
15º
12º
43
2º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ZAL
1 - 1
JAG
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
ODR
0 - 1
JAG
15%
20%
66%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
GÓR
1 - 1
JAG
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
JAG
2 - 1
MIE
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
RAK
2 - 2
JAG
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Stal Mielec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
STA
2 - 0
SLA
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
LKS
2 - 2
STA
21%
22%
57%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
STA
0 - 1
WAR
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
PGL
4 - 0
STA
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
GÓR
1 - 3
STA
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |