Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Lechia Gdansk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2011 |
POD
2 - 2
JAG
28%
30%
42%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
FCI
2 - 0
JAG
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
JAG
1 - 0
FCI
50%
25%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
JAG
2 - 1
RCH
52%
26%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
CRA
3 - 0
JAG
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lechia Gdansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
1 - 0
GDA
55%
26%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
GDA
1 - 2
ZAL
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
WLO
1 - 0
GDA
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
GDA
2 - 1
LPO
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
GDA
0 - 0
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |