Jagiellonia Bialystok vs KS Cracovia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
8º
2º
19
2º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 55 |
1º
|
17% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 54 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 53 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
19 | 53 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 51 |
5º
|
5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 50 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 49 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 48 |
8º
|
5.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 46 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 45 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 44 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 43 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 43 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 43 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 42 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 42 |
16º
|
7% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 39 |
17º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 38 |
18º
|
20.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
14% | 10.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
29% | 24% |
|
Mid-table
|
54% | 64% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BOG
4 - 1
JAG
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 1
BOG
31%
23%
46%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 0
STA
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
JAG
3 - 1
PAN
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 3
JAG
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
KS Cracovia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KOR
0 - 2
CRA
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
CRA
1 - 3
WLO
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
RAK
0 - 1
CRA
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CRA
1 - 1
PGL
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 1
SIG
46%
24%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |