Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
KOR
0 - 3
JAG
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
JAG
1 - 3
SLA
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
JAG
0 - 3
WAR
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
GÓR
3 - 0
JAG
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
JAG
2 - 1
CRA
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LPO
1 - 1
CRA
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
RCH
0 - 0
LPO
35%
28%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LPO
1 - 1
POG
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GDA
1 - 2
LPO
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
LPO
0 - 0
STJ
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |