Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Śląsk Wrocław analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
4º
2º
10
11º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 60 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 60 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 56 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 55 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 53 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 53 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 50 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 47 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 47 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 44 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 38 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 37 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 29 |
18º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
36% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
39% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
25% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 89.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 2
RAK
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
JAG
3 - 0
MFK
36%
24%
40%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
GÓR
0 - 2
JAG
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 3
JAG
26%
23%
52%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
JAG
3 - 1
KOR
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Śląsk Wrocław
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 1
GÓR
40%
26%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
ZAL
3 - 0
SLA
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
RAD
0 - 3
SLA
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 0
RAK
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
SLA
2 - 1
STA
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |