Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
8º
2º
14
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 56 |
1º
|
24% | |
|
|
7º
|
15 | 55 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 52 |
3º
|
7% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 52 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 52 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 51 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 50 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 46 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 46 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 45 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 42 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 42 |
13º
|
4.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 41 |
14º
|
8% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 41 |
15º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 41 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 40 |
17º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 38 |
18º
|
17% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
16% | 6% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
30% | 12% |
|
Mid-table
|
50.5% | 72% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 2
JAG
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
JAG
3 - 2
GDA
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LPO
5 - 0
JAG
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
WLO
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 0
JAG
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
POG
1 - 0
WAR
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
WAR
0 - 1
RAK
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
WAR
5 - 2
MOT
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
FCD
0 - 1
WAR
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SLA
1 - 1
WAR
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |