Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 5-0
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Dinamo Batumi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
DBA
0 - 1
JAG
20%
22%
58%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
JAG
6 - 0
SGO
89%
9%
2%
|
76 | 24 | 52 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2017 |
JAG
0 - 1
AEK
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
JAG
2 - 2
LPO
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
TER
1 - 2
JAG
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Dinamo Batumi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
DBA
0 - 1
JAG
20%
22%
58%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
DBA
0 - 0
KOL
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
FTK
1 - 0
DBA
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
DBA
0 - 1
SAB
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
DTB
4 - 0
DBA
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |