Jadran vs Vinodol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
3.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
JAP
5 - 0
POM
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
NKR
2 - 3
JAP
19%
23%
57%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
JAP
5 - 0
KRK
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
NKG
1 - 2
JAP
56%
21%
23%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
JAP
0 - 3
NKC
54%
23%
22%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Vinodol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
VNV
0 - 3
NKR
35%
23%
42%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
KRK
1 - 1
VNV
51%
22%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NKG
4 - 0
VNV
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
NEH
0 - 0
VNV
46%
23%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
VNV
9 - 4
ROV
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |