Jadran vs Vinodol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
NKR
1 - 2
JAP
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
JAP
1 - 0
PAZ
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ROV
0 - 7
JAP
15%
20%
66%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
JAP
3 - 5
ULJ
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
NNH
0 - 2
JAP
10%
15%
75%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Vinodol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
VNV
2 - 1
NKC
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
NKG
5 - 0
VNV
80%
14%
7%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
NKB
3 - 0
VNV
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
VNV
4 - 3
NKR
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
PAZ
3 - 1
VNV
57%
21%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |