Jadran vs NK Jadran LP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
47.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
9º
16º
15º
10
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 62 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 55 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 53 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 52 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 49 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 46 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 44 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 43 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 41 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 39 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 35 |
11º
|
6% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 34 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 33 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 31 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
2 | 28 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 27 |
16º
|
31.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
47% | 87.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
39% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
JAP
2 - 5
DUG
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SEG
4 - 0
JAP
30%
23%
48%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
JAP
0 - 2
MZL
18%
21%
61%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
JAP
1 - 2
MZL
22%
25%
53%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
JAP
4 - 4
KUS
22%
25%
54%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
NK Jadran LP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
JAD
2 - 0
TRN
71%
18%
12%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 0
JAD
48%
28%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
JAD
2 - 3
BJE
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
HDR
0 - 0
JAD
29%
29%
42%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
JAD
4 - 0
ULJ
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |