Jadran vs NK Dugo Selo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
11º
16º
14º
37
8º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BJE
1 - 1
JAP
56%
21%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
JAP
5 - 1
KAR
23%
25%
52%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HRV
4 - 3
JAP
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
JAP
2 - 2
NKG
18%
20%
63%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
JAP
0 - 0
ORI
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
NK Dugo Selo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DUG
1 - 2
MZL
30%
27%
44%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BJE
1 - 5
DUG
52%
23%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DUG
2 - 2
NKK
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KAR
3 - 1
DUG
49%
25%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
DUG
0 - 1
LOK
8%
16%
75%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |