NK Jadran LP vs Bjelovar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
19.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
6º
4º
29
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
29 | 56 |
1º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 56 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 54 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 52 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 52 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 48 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 44 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 39 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 37 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 35 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 35 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 32 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 28 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 28 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 18 |
16º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
11% | 22.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10.5% | 24% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 53.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Jadran LP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
HDR
0 - 0
JAD
29%
29%
42%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
JAD
4 - 0
ULJ
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
JAD
2 - 1
NKG
60%
21%
20%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
KRK
2 - 3
JAD
25%
30%
46%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
JAD
2 - 1
DUG
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bjelovar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
BJE
4 - 0
VIN
62%
19%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BJE
3 - 2
HRV
64%
19%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DUG
2 - 5
BJE
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 1
BJE
11%
18%
71%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BJE
2 - 0
SEG
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |