Jacyobá vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
51.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacyobá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
AFP
3 - 0
JAC
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ABC
7 - 0
JAC
87%
10%
3%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
JAC
2 - 2
CEN
22%
23%
55%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
CAM
5 - 1
JAC
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
COR
1 - 0
JAC
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 0
COR
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CEN
2 - 2
ITA
46%
27%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 1
ABC
15%
25%
60%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
ITA
78%
16%
6%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 0
AFP
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |