Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 1-2
Jacuipense vs Iguatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
JAC
3 - 0
PET
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SER
0 - 1
JAC
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SDJ
2 - 1
JAC
36%
29%
36%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
JAC
1 - 0
ASA
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
JAC
1 - 2
CSE
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Iguatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
IGU
1 - 0
SOU
40%
29%
31%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
IGU
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 1
IGU
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
IGU
1 - 0
TRE
35%
29%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
IGU
2 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |