Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 3-3
Jacuipense vs Globo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
GLO
1 - 3
JAC
48%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
JAC
1 - 1
COR
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
JAC
27%
26%
47%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
JAC
3 - 2
CAM
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CEN
2 - 1
JAC
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
GLO
1 - 3
JAC
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GLO
1 - 0
POR
61%
22%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 2
GLO
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GLO
4 - 2
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CON
2 - 1
GLO
46%
25%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |