Jacuipense vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
80%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
AEC
2 - 2
JAC
37%
25%
39%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 2
JAC
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
JAC
1 - 2
VIT
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
JAC
3 - 1
ALA
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
JEC
1 - 1
JAC
54%
23%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
BAH
2 - 0
JEC
79%
14%
6%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 0
BAH
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
BAH
0 - 1
EST
32%
29%
40%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
WOL
0 - 0
BAH
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
BAH
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |