Jacuipense vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
COR
1 - 3
JAC
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAT
3 - 3
JAC
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
JAC
5 - 0
SER
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAH
2 - 1
JAC
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
JAC
1 - 1
SDJ
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
CEN
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
ALE
3 - 2
BAR
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
POT
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 1
COR
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |