Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 1-0
Jacuipense vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
ARN
0 - 0
JAC
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
JAC
3 - 1
CEN
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
CEN
2 - 0
JAC
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
ASA
1 - 0
JAC
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
JAC
2 - 0
CAM
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
ARN
0 - 0
JAC
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
ARN
2 - 0
AME
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
AME
1 - 0
ARN
15%
23%
62%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
ARN
8 - 0
SPB
87%
10%
3%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
AME
0 - 0
ARN
14%
22%
64%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | -1 |