Jacuipense vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ALA
3 - 2
JAC
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
JAC
2 - 1
JEQ
44%
24%
33%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
JAC
1 - 0
BAH
7%
18%
75%
|
42 | 78 | 36 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
JEC
3 - 2
JAC
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
JAC
1 - 0
SDJ
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ASA
1 - 1
JAC
64%
20%
17%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
CSA
3 - 1
ASA
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ASA
1 - 0
CRB
13%
21%
66%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
BPA
1 - 0
ASA
45%
24%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
DSA
2 - 2
ASA
13%
19%
69%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |