Copa Do Brasil U20 Last 16
Global 3-12
Jacuipense Sub 17 vs São Paulo Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
78%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.6%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacuipense Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
JAC
1 - 1
VIL
38%
22%
41%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
SPA
14 - 0
GSA
84%
10%
6%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FLA
2 - 1
SPA
52%
23%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
SPA
3 - 3
FLA
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
FLU
2 - 0
SPA
51%
23%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
SPA
4 - 1
FLU
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |