Jacobinense vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
77.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
16.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacobinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
JAC
3 - 2
JEC
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
JEC
1 - 0
ADA
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
JEC
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
JEC
0 - 0
ITA
8%
14%
77%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | +3 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
ITA
2 - 0
JEC
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
BAH
39%
26%
34%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
BAH
2 - 1
ALA
84%
12%
4%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
JAC
0 - 1
BAH
11%
22%
67%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
BAH
3 - 1
SDJ
86%
11%
4%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CRB
1 - 2
BAH
31%
29%
41%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |