Jacobinense vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
62.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacobinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
JEC
1 - 0
BAH
7%
16%
78%
|
36 | 77 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
JAC
3 - 2
JEC
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
JEC
1 - 0
ADA
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
JEC
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
JEC
0 - 0
ITA
8%
14%
77%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 1
JAC
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 1
NAU
19%
22%
59%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
BAH
2 - 1
ALA
84%
12%
4%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ALA
4 - 0
BAH
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
ALA
14%
18%
68%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |