Jacobina vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.3%
1-0
0.9%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
1.9%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.7%
91%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
13.8%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
20.1%
0-4
11.9%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
16.1%
0-5
8.2%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
10.6%
0-6
4.7%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.1%
-6
5.8%
0-7
2.3%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0%
-7
2.8%
0-8
1%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
1.2%
0-9
0.4%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.4%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacobina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
JEQ
1 - 0
JEC
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
JEC
2 - 0
VIT
21%
23%
57%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 1
JEC
93%
6%
1%
|
36 | 75 | 39 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
JAC
4 - 0
JEC
55%
23%
23%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
AEC
1 - 2
JEC
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 0
VIT
86%
11%
3%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 1
MOT
87%
10%
3%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
CSA
1 - 1
VIT
33%
25%
43%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PAL
3 - 2
VIT
81%
13%
5%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 0
GRE
23%
27%
50%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |