Jacobina vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacobina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 0
JEC
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
JEC
1 - 0
JAC
43%
25%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
JEC
1 - 4
VIT
6%
14%
80%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 1
JEC
42%
26%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 1
JEC
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 2
SER
19%
23%
58%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
SER
3 - 1
BOC
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
CON
3 - 2
SER
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SER
1 - 2
ITA
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
AFP
0 - 0
SER
18%
22%
60%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |