Jacobina vs Itabuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
72.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacobina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BAH
6 - 1
JEC
75%
17%
9%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
JEQ
1 - 0
JEC
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
JEC
1 - 1
JEQ
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
JEC
2 - 0
VIT
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 1
JEC
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 2
ALA
63%
20%
18%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BAH
4 - 1
ITA
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
BAH
24%
25%
52%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
4 - 0
BAH
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BAH
4 - 0
ITA
26%
23%
51%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |