Jacobina vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.8%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.1%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
85.4%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
14.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
19.2%
0-4
9.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
12.4%
0-5
5.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.6%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.9%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacobina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 0
JEC
49%
23%
27%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
JEC
0 - 1
FLU
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
JEC
1 - 1
SDJ
25%
22%
53%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 0
JEC
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
JEC
2 - 1
VIT
25%
23%
52%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BAH
0 - 2
VIT
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 0
BAH
8%
20%
71%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BAH
1 - 1
JAC
85%
12%
3%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
BAH
0 - 1
BAH
10%
21%
69%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
BAH
2 - 0
IMP
80%
15%
5%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |