Czech Cup Quarter-finals
Global 6-4
Jablonec vs Viktoria Plzeň analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jablonec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
PRI
3 - 3
JAB
17%
22%
61%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
JAB
0 - 0
TEP
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 2
JAB
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
JAB
2 - 0
ZBR
77%
16%
8%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SLI
1 - 0
JAB
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Viktoria Plzeň
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 0
VKP
44%
26%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
VKP
1 - 0
HRA
81%
13%
6%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
VKP
4 - 0
DUK
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
FEN
1 - 1
VKP
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MBO
0 - 2
VKP
37%
25%
38%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |