Jablonec vs Sparta Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
50.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
2º
8º
6º
19
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
19 | 63 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 60 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 58 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 48 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 46 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
11 | 44 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 43 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 43 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 41 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 39 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 37 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 31 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 30 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 29 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 27 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 22 |
16º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
41% | 99.5% |
|
Next round
|
46% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jablonec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DUK
0 - 2
JAB
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
JAB
0 - 0
VKP
27%
25%
48%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 0
JAB
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
JAB
2 - 0
MBO
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
JAB
4 - 1
SPA
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
STB
2 - 3
SPA
36%
24%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BOH
1 - 2
SPA
22%
24%
54%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
STB
62%
20%
19%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 0
DUK
72%
17%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 2
SHR
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |