Jablonec II vs Pardubice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
7º
15º
15º
6
8º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
13 | 33 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 31 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 30 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 30 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
1º
|
14 | 28 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 24 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 22 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 22 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 21 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 18 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
|
12º
|
6 | 18 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 18 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 17 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 17 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 14 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 14 |
17º
|
21% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
26.5% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jablonec II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
JBN
1 - 1
KOL
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SLI
0 - 0
JBN
63%
20%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
UST
4 - 0
JBN
74%
16%
11%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
JBN
3 - 0
SOK
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FKC
1 - 1
JBN
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pardubice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
SOK
2 - 0
PAR
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
FKC
39%
23%
38%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BMS
0 - 1
PAR
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
UST
1 - 0
PAR
43%
25%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 2
UST
22%
23%
56%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |