Jablonec II vs Sparta Kolín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
44%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
7º
15º
14º
7
6º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
16 | 34 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 33 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 31 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 30 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 25 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 23 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 23 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
7 | 21 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 21 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 21 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 18 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 17 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 17 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 16 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 15 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 14 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation
|
23% | 5.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jablonec II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SLI
0 - 0
JBN
63%
20%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
UST
4 - 0
JBN
74%
16%
11%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
JBN
3 - 0
SOK
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FKC
1 - 1
JBN
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
JBN
1 - 3
BMS
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Kolín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 0
TPC
51%
21%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
SOK
3 - 0
KOL
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SLI
3 - 2
KOL
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
ACL
2 - 0
KOL
29%
22%
49%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SOK
1 - 1
KOL
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |