Jablonec II vs Baník Most - Souš analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
7º
15º
15º
7
3º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 33 |
1º
|
21% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 33 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 31 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 30 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 25 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 24 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 22 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 22 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 21 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 18 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 18 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 18 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 18 |
13º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 17 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 17 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 16 |
16º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 14 |
17º
|
24% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
72.5% | 83.5% |
|
Relegation
|
27.5% | 16.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jablonec II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 3
JBN
47%
22%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
JBN
1 - 4
SOK
18%
24%
58%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FKP
3 - 1
JBN
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
JBN
2 - 3
VEL
16%
23%
61%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
TPC
4 - 2
JBN
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Baník Most - Souš
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BMS
1 - 3
CBJ
47%
23%
31%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BMS
3 - 0
SOK
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PRI
1 - 0
BMS
61%
20%
19%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
BMS
1 - 1
VPZ
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BMS
1 - 1
JIS
19%
19%
62%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |