Jabaquara vs Mauá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
51.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jabaquara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 2
JAB
78%
15%
7%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
JAB
1 - 0
BAR
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
COL
1 - 1
JAB
37%
23%
40%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
JAB
0 - 1
MFC
20%
22%
58%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
JAB
1 - 0
OSA
23%
22%
55%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MAU
1 - 1
MFC
27%
22%
51%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 1
NAC
15%
19%
66%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 2
RIO
22%
22%
56%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ECN
3 - 1
MFC
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 0
MFC
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |