Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 2-2
J. Malucelli vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
67.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
JMA
1 - 2
LON
36%
26%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 1
JMA
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
JMA
1 - 0
LON
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
JMA
1 - 3
ATP
14%
21%
64%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PRU
2 - 1
JMA
18%
22%
59%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 2
SDJ
86%
10%
3%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 3
VIT
8%
17%
76%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 0
SER
90%
8%
3%
|
76 | 44 | 32 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
CEA
5 - 1
VIT
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
BAH
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |