Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 1-3
J. Malucelli vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
65.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
IRA
1 - 0
JMA
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
PAR
3 - 1
JMA
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
OPE
1 - 1
JMA
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
CEA
1 - 1
JMA
61%
23%
17%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
COT
2 - 1
JMA
71%
20%
9%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 1
VAS
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
DUQ
3 - 4
VAS
19%
22%
58%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
VAS
3 - 1
ASA
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
VAS
3 - 0
FLU
45%
26%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
VAS
2 - 3
AME
82%
13%
5%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |