J. Malucelli vs Rio Branco PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2014 |
JMA
0 - 2
NOV
36%
27%
38%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
JMA
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
JMA
86%
11%
4%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LON
2 - 0
JMA
55%
25%
21%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
JMA
1 - 1
VIT
13%
20%
67%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
COT
2 - 1
RIO
84%
13%
4%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 2
COT
15%
21%
64%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 1
GRE
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
ARA
3 - 0
RIO
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 1
CIA
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |