J. Malucelli vs Rio Branco PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
JMA
66%
20%
13%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
JMA
0 - 0
GRE
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
CIA
1 - 3
JMA
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
JMA
3 - 3
ARA
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
JMA
0 - 0
LAJ
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 1
ATP
13%
20%
68%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 2
PRU
65%
19%
16%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
OPE
3 - 1
RIO
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
LON
0 - 1
RIO
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ARA
2 - 1
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |