J. Malucelli vs Rio Branco PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 2
JMA
22%
25%
53%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
JMA
0 - 3
COT
13%
21%
66%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 3
JMA
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
CIA
0 - 1
JMA
46%
26%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
JMA
3 - 1
ACP
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
OPE
2 - 2
RIO
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 1
NPR
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TCW
1 - 1
RIO
54%
23%
22%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
LON
1 - 0
RIO
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 2
ATP
13%
21%
66%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |